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How long can this rally last?
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, May 18, 2013 at 7:30am
Is today’s rally in stocks something you can count on and invest in with profitable results? Or is it likely to end soon — most likely, just as you put YOUR money on the table? Among the thousands of investors flocking to Las Vegas for the Money Show this week — in workshops, during cocktails …
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What MY home buying experience can teach YOU about today’s real estate market
by Mike Larson | Friday, May 17, 2013 at 7:30am
After an odyssey that lasted more than a year, my wife and I finally got over the finish line this week. We finally closed on the purchase of our new house. We’ll be unpacking boxes and figuring out which light switches control what for a while. But we couldn’t be happier with the place and …
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Is the Fed’s Punchbowl Running on Empty?
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, May 16, 2013 at 7:30am
A recent Wall Street Journal article caused a stir in financial markets this week. “Fed Maps Exit From Stimulus” proclaimed the headline written by reporter Jon Hilsenrath, who many believe has the inside scoop on Federal Reserve policy. Indeed the Fed’s foray into quantitative easing … now in its fourth installment (QEIV) since the depths …
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A Simple, Yet Powerful Model for Calculating Expected Investment Returns
by Bill Hall | Wednesday, May 15, 2013 at 7:30am
In my April 10 Money and Markets column, I explained that the first building block all successful investors must have to grow their next egg is a Better Investment Model. This means kicking the concept of luck to the curb and fine-tuning your investment process so you can confidently apply it to any future investments …
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A Commodity Play to Counteract the Summer Swoon
by Douglas Davenport | Tuesday, May 14, 2013 at 7:30am
Even if you’re a novice investor, you’re probably familiar with the age-old saying, “Sell in May and go away.” In short, it means that the May through October season each year is often a dead period in the markets. In fact, imagine you had invested $10,000 in the Dow Jones Industrial Average on May 1, …
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WWIII has already started …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, May 13, 2013 at 7:30am
A few days ago, a colleague I was talking to asked me if I foresaw the world ever entering a stage of war that could be called World War III. My answer shocked him. I told him — in no uncertain terms — that WWIII has already started. Naturally, he had a lot more questions. …
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How to Buy Stocks at “Ground Floor” Prices
by Tom Essaye | Saturday, May 11, 2013 at 7:30am
It’s a well-known fact that “getting in on the ground floor” is one of the best ways to make big investment gains. But, here’s the problem: Most of the time to “get in on the ground floor” of a company, you have to be 1) well connected, 2) already rich, or 3) very, very lucky. …
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How you can play along — safely — as markets rise!
by Mike Larson | Friday, May 10, 2013 at 7:30am
I get it. I understand the reluctance to embrace this rally. I see it in the statistics week in and week out, which show much less money flowing into stocks than you might expect given the market’s performance. Me? I believe healthy skepticism IS warranted almost all the time. You don’t want to just chase …
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The Biggest Blunder Investors and Traders Make …
by Larry Edelson | Thursday, May 9, 2013 at 4:00pm
I’m often asked what I think are the most common, most ruinous mistakes that investors make. Unfortunately, there are a lot of them. There are things such as risking too much money on a single trade or investment … not using protective stops … not using disciplined money management … trading too often … not …
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An Indispensible Tool for Tracking Market Trends
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, May 9, 2013 at 7:30am
If you are a regular reader of Money and Markets, you know I’m a big fan of technical analysis when it comes to investing. I find it an indispensible tool for tracking financial market trends. In fact I just wrote about a simple yet effective trend-following indicator (see: Why the Trend is Still Your Friend). …
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My analytical “Ace in the Hole”
by Mike Larson | Wednesday, May 8, 2013 at 4:00pm
No soldier goes into battle without the best intelligence and gear possible. No sailor heads out of port without researching the tides, the winds, and the waves. And no INVESTOR should put his hard-earned dollars at risk without the best possible research and expertise on his side. That’s why I feel so privileged to have …
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Discipline Binds It All Together
by Bill Hall | Wednesday, May 8, 2013 at 7:30am
This is the fifth — and final — in a series of Money and Markets columns where I’ll share with you the five essential building blocks that can help you successfully earn enduring gains in your portfolio. Today, I’ll complete the discussion with a building block you must have to grow your nest egg … …
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How to Buy Stocks at “Ground Floor” Prices
by Tom Essaye | Tuesday, May 7, 2013 at 3:16pm
It’s a well-known fact that “getting in on the ground floor” is one of the best ways to make big investment gains. But, here’s the problem: Most of the time to “get in on the ground floor” of a company, you have to be 1) well connected, 2) already rich, or 3) very, very lucky. …
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Avoiding the Folly of Predicting Other Investors’ Reactions
by Douglas Davenport | Tuesday, May 7, 2013 at 7:30am
Every investor is different. And every investor is influenced by his or her biases and personal experiences. It doesn’t matter if that investor is a professional money manager like me, or a dabbler who plays with a couple hundred dollars in an online trading account. But no matter how you trade, or how you first …
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Why the Trend is Still Your Friend
by Mike Burnick | Monday, May 6, 2013 at 3:30pm
The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged to new highs again last week cracking through the 15,000 level in the process. With the Dow up 14.3 percent already this year, many investors I talk to, both retail and professional, are scratching their heads about the durability of the stock market’s rally. After all, the Dow has …
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Important questions, answered!
by Larry Edelson | Monday, May 6, 2013 at 7:30am
Yes, gold and silver and related mining shares may bounce a bit more. But mark my words: If you’re buying them now on the basis that they’ve bottomed, you’re going to lose your shirt! So I repeat my warnings: Gold will NOT bottom until it moves below $1,100 an ounce. Silver will not bottom until …
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From Martin: My new video is online NOW!
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, May 4, 2013 at 7:30am
The U.S. Federal Reserve has now promised to CONTINUE printing $85 billion every month practically until hell freezes over — until the stubborn, hellish unemployment in the U.S. goes away. Japan has just announced that it’s going to DOUBLE that bet! That’s right. Adjusted for the size of its economy, Japan is now printing the …
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Last chance to beat the pants off the S&P 500 with my favorite “bond alternatives” — AND save 33% in the process!
by Mike Larson | Friday, May 3, 2013 at 7:30am
This is it … the last few days before my brand new report, Beating the Bond Bubble: 6 Bubble-Busting Investments for Income and Profit!, is released to the public. If you reserve your copy before that release date, Monday, May 6, it will cost you just $99. That’s a 33 percent discount off the cover …
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Sell in May and Go Away? Not So Fast
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, May 2, 2013 at 7:30am
It’s a well worn adage on Wall Street to “sell in May and go away.” But is there any truth to this piece of trading conventional wisdom … or is it unwise advice? The answer depends a great deal on your chosen time frame. In each of the past three years, advice to “sell in …
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How Cranking Out the Singles Can Lead to Investment Success
by Bill Hall | Wednesday, May 1, 2013 at 7:30am
This is the fourth in a series of Money and Markets columns where I’ll share with you the five essential building blocks that can help you successfully earn enduring investment gains in your portfolio. The first building block that you must have to grow your nest egg is a Better Investment Model. As you’ll recall …
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How to Invest in a Global Leader in Economic Freedom
by Douglas Davenport | Tuesday, April 30, 2013 at 7:30am
If I asked you to guess which country has the strongest bond rating in South America, many of you would probably say Brazil. After all, the country is becoming an economic powerhouse, infrastructure spending there is exploding in preparation for the 2014 FIFA World Cup and the 2016 Summer Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro, …
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Important: The Dow/Gold Breakout …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, April 29, 2013 at 7:30am
For a couple of years now I’ve maintained my view that the Dow Industrials and broad U.S. equity markets were entering a new bull market. One of the tools I used to come to that conclusion back in 2008 was the ratio of the Dow Industrials to the price of gold. I wrote extensively about …
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The New, Hotter, Cold War — Part II
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, April 27, 2013 at 7:30am
Before he passed away, Dad and I talked frequently about global conflict — especially in East Asia. Before World War II, he wrote extensively about the escalating trade war between Japan and the U.S., virtually pleading for the two countries to talk peace seriously. Many years later, I lived in Japan for two years for …
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Are you accepting 1.7 percent … when you could be making 11 times that? If so, why?
by Mike Larson | Friday, April 26, 2013 at 7:30am
Pardon me for being blunt. But the returns on most bonds, bond ETFs, and bond mutual funds stink. To high heaven! Just one example: A 10-year Treasury Note yields about 1.7 percent per year. At that interest rate, it would take 41.1 years to double your money. That’s more than four times longer than the …
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Profit Opportunities in a Slow-Growth World
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, April 25, 2013 at 7:30am
The world is in the midst of another “growth scare” as has been the case in each of the past three years. Economic data is rolling over in many countries around the globe as negative surprises outnumber positives, as I pointed out last week. And as first-quarter earnings reports reach a climax over the next …
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The Key to Making All-Star Investments
by Bill Hall | Wednesday, April 24, 2013 at 7:30am
This is the third in a series of Money and Markets columns where I’ll share with you the five essential building blocks that can help you successfully earn enduring investment gains in your portfolio. The first building block that you must have to grow your nest egg is a Better Investment Model. As you’ll recall …
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“Buy and Hold” Is No Match for “Fear and Greed”
by Douglas Davenport | Tuesday, April 23, 2013 at 7:30am
I could not be prouder: In two weeks, my daughter will graduate from the University of Alabama as one of the top finance students in her class. Now, in one of her advanced classes this year, her professor discussed the “Buy and Hold” strategy employed by many investors. And if you’ve read my Money and …
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More losses coming in the gold market …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, April 22, 2013 at 7:30am
Millions of investors have been skinned alive in the gold market. They got married to their positions and failed to realize that gold is like any other market. What goes up, must also pullback. Even some of the savviest investors in the world got killed in gold. Billionaire investor John Paulson lost as much as …
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The Best Investment Call of 2013
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, April 20, 2013 at 7:30am
Larry Edelson and Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. For any awards to be given for the best investment call of the year, I’m nominating Larry Edelson’s prescient forecast that gold would tumble to $1,380 per ounce, or lower. And I do so for a number of reasons: First — because he’s been so consistent and persistent. …
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Is the housing market rebound petering out? Plus: Where to find “Better Than Bonds” returns with less risk!
by Mike Larson | Friday, April 19, 2013 at 7:30am
Last year was a good one for the housing market. Sales rebounded somewhat, the inventory of homes for sale declined, and home prices reversed course and climbed in many parts of the country. As I’ve said before, some of that recovery was based on natural, “core” forces — with the passing of time since the …
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Emerging Bargains Popping Up in Asia!
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, April 18, 2013 at 7:30am
Gold grabbed the headlines early this week with its breathtaking 13.6 percent drop between Friday and Monday, but stock markets didn’t fare too well either. The Dow Jones Industrials plunged 265 points on Monday alone, resurrecting fears that a deeper correction may finally be unfolding. Indeed, the most cyclical of the S&P 500 sectors including: …
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Don’t Let Useless Facts Elbow Out Useful Ones!
by Bill Hall | Wednesday, April 17, 2013 at 7:30am
This is the second in a series of Money and Market columns where I’ll share with you the five essential building blocks required to successfully earn enduring gains in your portfolio. As you’ll recall from last week, the first building block that all successful investors must have to grow their next egg is a Better …
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Why Systematic Mechanical Trend Following Is the Best Way to Make Money in the Markets
by Douglas Davenport | Tuesday, April 16, 2013 at 7:30am
Over the past couple weeks, I’ve revealed how I’ve helped my clients consistently beat the S&P 500 by a wide margin: By strictly adhering to a mechanical trend following trading model. But many of you have written in to ask how exactly that model works. Today, I’ll try to answer that question, and explain why …
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Urgent: Historic Gold Crash. What To Expect Next …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, April 15, 2013 at 5:10pm
I’ll get right to the point … First, gold’s historic collapse — losing as much as $233 in just the last four trading days, a whopping 14.7 percent … and $565, or 29.44 percent since its high in 2011 — is NOT over. Second, expect a bounce to soon occur, but don’t buy into it. …
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The Yin and Yang of Gold …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, April 15, 2013 at 7:30am
Over the past week or so, gold cracked through support at the $1,583 level, then bounced back up, and then plunged anew. Now, gold is dangerously close to giving a MAJOR sell signal. Once it closes below the $1,527 level — you can kiss gold goodbye. It will plunge to $1,380 an ounce — and …
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The New, Hotter Cold War
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, April 13, 2013 at 7:30am
A long series of U.S. foreign policy mishaps, stumbles, and outright failures have set us on a collision course toward a new, hotter cold war — with far-reaching consequences for all investors. This week, I will focus on the Middle East. And in Part II of this series, I will turn to East Asia. How …
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Investing in today’s “Bizarro” market!
by Mike Larson | Friday, April 12, 2013 at 7:30am
I don’t know if you’re a Seinfeld fan like me. But one of my favorite episodes of all time was “The Bizarro Jerry.” In that 1996 show, Jerry Seinfeld and the rest of his friends meet versions of themselves that are completely opposites in terms of personality and behavior. What they do makes no sense …
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Will Downbeat Data Lead to a Negative Surprise for Stocks?
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, April 11, 2013 at 7:30am
When stocks get off to a good start to the year, unpleasant surprises in the economic data often spoil the party. This typically occurs in combination with rising financial stress thanks to the usual suspects such as: A. Europe. B. Washington. C. All of the above. The result: Volatility spikes higher and stock prices dive …
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How to Get an Edge over Wall Street’s Hotshots
by Bill Hall | Wednesday, April 10, 2013 at 7:30am
Beginning today, Bill Hall is joining the Money and Markets team of editors. With more than 25 years in the investment and wealth management business, Bill specializes in the unique ability to identify profitable opportunities across all markets using powerful mathematical principles and time-tested financial models. And each Wednesday he’ll share his expertise to help …
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Trend Following Explained
by Douglas Davenport | Tuesday, April 9, 2013 at 7:30am
If there’s one thing I’ve learned through all my years of managing money and following the financial markets, it’s that no one can predict the future. Of course, there have been cases in which an investor or analyst has been right once or twice. One famous example is Robert Prechter, who used the Elliott Wave …
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Inside: How to avoid losing your shirt!
by Larry Edelson | Monday, April 8, 2013 at 7:30am
Last week, I told you about the hundreds, if not thousands of readers that wanted my head for remaining bearish on gold and silver. Well, gold and silver have taken the shirts off the backs of loads of investors and analysts who refused to listen to me! Gold has now cracked major support at the …
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The Most Dangerous Conspiracy of All Time
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, April 6, 2013 at 7:30am
You’ve no doubt heard about various conspiracy theories — the JFK assassination conspiracy, the New World Order conspiracy, the “Clinton Body Count conspiracy,” and innumerous others dating back to biblical times. Yet in terms of the sheer propensity to create pain and suffering, none can compare to the conspiracy now entrapping the globe. Unlike most …
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Growth flagging again? Sure looks like it! But not for my favorite sectors!
by Mike Larson | Friday, April 5, 2013 at 7:30am
The last few weeks have challenged a key contention of the unbridled bulls — namely that the global economy is firing on all cylinders. Just consider: * Euro-zone unemployment rose to 12 percent in February, the highest since tracking began in 1995! Manufacturing activity shrank yet again, with a key index falling to 46.8 in …
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The “Real” Way to Keep Score of Record Highs in the Market!
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, April 4, 2013 at 7:30am
Call it the little engine that could … the S&P 500 Index (SPX) huffed … and it puffed. And on the last trading day of March, the blue-chip index finally made it to a new record high last week, eclipsing the previous high-water mark of 1,565 set back in the pre-financial crisis days of 2007. …
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Important Update On Gold and Silver!
by Larry Edelson | Wednesday, April 3, 2013 at 5:24pm
Larry here with a quick but very important update on the precious metals. As you may well know from my previous columns, I have been calling for a further decline in the precious metals. Yesterday, gold added to its losses since its high in August of 2011 … and fell to close below a very …
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Riding the Rails with the New Oil Boom
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, April 3, 2013 at 7:30am
The decision on whether to approve the Keystone pipeline will be made in the coming months. So after years of planning, fighting, and grandstanding in the media, the oil industry and the environmentalists will finally have a resolution. The Keystone pipeline, if approved, will transport 800,000 barrels of oil per day over 2,100 miles from …
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Risks Across All Markets Necessitate Careful Asset Allocation
by Douglas Davenport | Tuesday, April 2, 2013 at 7:30am
First, let me introduce myself. I’m Douglas Davenport, editor of the All-Weather Investor and Inflation Survival Strategy investment services. If you have already joined one or both of these portfolios, you know that they’re based on an objective, trend-following trading model I developed years ago with my mentor, the legendary investor Sir John Templeton. This …
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Thousands want my head, again!
by Larry Edelson | Monday, April 1, 2013 at 7:30am
The mail continues to pour in! Hundreds, if not thousands of readers want my head ― yet again ― for remaining short-term bearish on gold and silver. I have never, and I mean NEVER, seen such an outpouring of emotions! But truth be told, the level of emotions that are now running so high against …
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Are Cyprus banks canaries in the coal mine?
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, March 30, 2013 at 7:30am
Martin D. Weiss Even while Cyprus’s largest banks sink into oblivion, some of the world’s most respected pundits and authorities are swearing up and down that “no one could have possibly known it would ever get this bad.” Don’t believe them! The fact is that, back in April 2012, Weiss Ratings issued D- grades to …
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Europe lets its true bank intentions slip! What it means to you!
by Mike Larson | Friday, March 29, 2013 at 7:30am
Over the last few years, I’ve gotten used to politicians and central bankers messing up, misleading, or flat out lying when it comes to the financial markets, the economy, and their true intentions. I mean, do I really need to recap how Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke once claimed that the subprime crisis would be …
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There’s more than one way to skin a cat when it comes to emerging market investing
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, March 28, 2013 at 7:30am
There is no polite way to say it: Emerging stock markets have been absolute dogs this year in terms of performance. At first blush this seems like an odd disconnect, considering the strong growth emerging economies are posting. But the divergence makes more sense when you consider where we are in the global business cycle. …
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An Unexpected Beneficiary of a Recovering Housing Market
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, March 27, 2013 at 7:30am
Most of the focus in recent weeks has been on Europe, first the Italian political crisis and then the Cyprus drama. Meanwhile, the market has somewhat ignored the steady flow of strong economic numbers here in the U.S. Starting two weeks ago, we’ve seen better-than-expected data in the labor market as weekly jobless claims hit …
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My last article for Money and Markets
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, March 26, 2013 at 7:30am
After writing more than 300 weekly columns for Money and Markets, this one will be my last. But before I get to why, please allow me to take a brief stroll down memory lane … I wrote my first article here back in September of 2006. The subject? How runaway debt was about to severely …
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The Seeds of War Have Been Sown …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, March 25, 2013 at 7:30am
In a previous column, I showed you how the war cycles turn violently higher this year. I also addressed the issue of war, and its implications for the markets, at the Weiss Global Wealth Summit in January. It’s a topic that no one likes to talk about. Yet I’ve studied the history and Cycles of …
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Cyprus crisis reveals sorry state of many banks! How to protect YOUR money!
by Mike Larson | Saturday, March 23, 2013 at 7:30am
A lot of ink has been spilled on the Cyprus crisis this week. And my colleague Tom Essaye did a great job covering many of the particulars. He also discussed the very real possibility of contagion selling and bank runs spreading to other parts of Europe. But to me, the single most important fact about …
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Cyprus crisis reveals sorry state of many banks! How to protect YOUR money!
by Mike Larson | Friday, March 22, 2013 at 7:30am
A lot of ink has been spilled on the Cyprus crisis this week. And my colleague Tom Essaye did a great job covering many of the particulars. He also discussed the very real possibility of contagion selling and bank runs spreading to other parts of Europe. But to me, the single most important fact about …
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3 Barometers to Watch in the Latest EU Flare-Up
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, March 21, 2013 at 7:30am
Yet another European Union (EU) crisis flare-up, this time in Cyprus, is roiling global financial markets again as European finance ministers, in cahoots with the Cyprus government, conspired last weekend to pull off an unprecedented bank heist. Much has already been written about the great Cyprus bank robbery. So I won’t get into the details, …
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With Cyprus on the Edge, Which Indicator Should You Follow?
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, March 20, 2013 at 7:30am
Risks in Europe have once again flared up, this time from the tiny island of Cyprus. European Union (EU) leaders granted Cyprus a bailout over the weekend. But in an unprecedented step they required a one-time tax on checking and savings accounts held by citizens and businesses in Cyprus in return for the bailout. As …
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Taxing Social Security benefits? Yes, it happens.
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, March 19, 2013 at 7:30am
Every March I try to focus a lot of attention on tax issues because they can have a profound impact on your finances. Moreover, our nation’s tax code is so convoluted that people often find themselves in tough spots after it’s too late to do anything differently. Take Social Security. I’ve repeatedly explained how the …
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The Next Inflation Surge: When Will It Come?
by Larry Edelson | Monday, March 18, 2013 at 7:30am
Right now, I remain bearish most commodity markets. The reason being, they simply have not fulfilled a short-term cyclical test of support. So, more downside is possible in gold, silver, oil, and an assortment of other commodities. In fact, I expect we’ll soon see gold break down and plunge well below the $1,500 level and …
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Muni bonds collapsing! What it means …
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, March 16, 2013 at 7:30am
Martin and Mike here with a quick update on the muni bond market … The big picture in a nutshell? Just as we warned, their prices are collapsing, driving interest rates sharply higher. U.S. Treasury bonds, corporate bonds, and mortgage-backed bonds are following a similar pattern. And as a result, most portfolios loaded with fixed …
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Bond market meltdown hitting rate-sensitive stocks, ETFs —
by Mike Larson | Friday, March 15, 2013 at 7:30am
Since I started closely following the financial markets more than 16 years ago, I have seen several major interest rate cycles. There was the Long-Term Capital Management rate-cutting mini-cycle in 1998, which was followed by several increases from 1999 through mid-2000. Ten-year Treasury note yields surged from 4.1 percent to 6.8 percent. There was the …
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Global Currency War: The Pacific Theater
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, March 14, 2013 at 7:30am
Last month in a Money and Markets column, I pointed out that the euro/U.S. dollar exchange rate would be the next battleground in the global currency war. Since early February, the euro currency has declined nearly 5 percent against the greenback, which may sound insignificant, but in the world of Forex it qualifies as a …
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Turmoil in Venezuela Could Spell Opportunity for You in Brazil
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, March 13, 2013 at 7:30am
Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez died last week after a lengthy fight with cancer. Reactions to his passing have run from despair in the poor sections of Caracas to jubilation in the ex-pat Venezuelan communities in Miami. Regardless of your opinion of the man or his politics, as investors we always have to be mindful of …
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Have a bank pay for your next vacation …
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, March 12, 2013 at 7:30am
Last week I said there were a lot of simple ways to live a richer lifestyle, including plenty that don’t require investing money. [Editor's note: To make sure you get all of those ideas going forward, make sure you sign up for Nilus' new e-letter, Easy Street Investing.] Of course, the example I cited about …
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The Markets Take No Prisoners …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, March 11, 2013 at 7:30am
It was just about this time last year, in my columns in Uncommon Wisdom, that I started warning … That we’d see a short-term rally in the dollar, mainly against the euro. That Europe would kick the sovereign debt can down the road. That the U.S. economy would start to look a bit better. That …
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How to invest in stocks SAFELY …
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, March 9, 2013 at 7:30am
With the stock market making new highs, many investors are in a quandary: They are anxious to jump in. But they are also feeling anxiety about the inherent risks — and for good reason! The solution is two-pronged: Consider holding some broad-based hedges that are designed to protect you from a decline in the market …
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“Bond Alternatives” killing it! Here’s how to get your share of those profits!
by Mike Larson | Friday, March 8, 2013 at 7:30am
If you’ve been following my writings, you know I remain extremely wary of the bond market. I believe bonds are overowned, overvalued, and at significant risk of price declines. Heck, they’re already dropping substantially! Long-term Treasury bond futures prices just sank again to 10-month lows, while many of the bond ETFs I warned about (MBB, …
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How to Profit from Relative Price Trends
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, March 7, 2013 at 7:30am
Stocks achieved yet another bullish milestone this week with the DJIA notching a new all time high — surpassing the pre-financial crisis high water mark of 14,164.53 set in 2007. Indeed, stocks are posting robust gains with the Dow up over 8 percent already this year, although many investors have been expecting at least a …
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Is There a “Draghi Put” in the Market?
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, March 6, 2013 at 7:30am
I’m surprised how quickly tensions have calmed regarding Italy’s election results last week. Whenever the market reacts differently than I expect, I always try to find out why. That way I can judge whether the market’s reaction signals a trend change or a short-sighted move by traders. To that end, I spent the weekend researching …
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Being a cheapskate is a good thing!
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, March 5, 2013 at 7:30am
Last week, I announced my brand-new publishing group — Easy Street Investing — and I said it would be all about strategies that can help you earn more, work less, and live the rich, rewarding life you deserve. Let me first say that uncovering investment opportunities will remain my biggest priority with this new endeavor …
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Are we there yet?
by Larry Edelson | Monday, March 4, 2013 at 7:30am
Are we there yet? Has gold bottomed? Is it about to begin its ascent to $5,000 plus? After all, Fed Chief Ben Bernanke reiterated his money-printing policy last week, vowing to keep it in place until unemployment falls to at least 6.5 percent and inflation ticks higher. On top of that, the Bank of Japan …
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Austerity — like it or not!
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, March 2, 2013 at 7:30am
Last week in this space, I told you about the dire consequences of the sequester, and I wrote: “Precisely BECAUSE the warnings are falling on deaf ears, the real wolf is now prowling. And not only is she likely to strike on March 1, but she’s also likely to continue striking for months to come.”(See …
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Credit markets back in the minestrone! How to protect yourself and profit!
by Mike Larson | Friday, March 1, 2013 at 7:30am
Here we are again: Back in the soup! Or in this case, the minestrone! I say that because just when the markets appeared on track to keep heading higher, Italian voters threw everyone for a loop. Specifically, they gave a chunk of their votes to former Italian prime minister Silvio Berlusconi, a chunk of votes …
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How to pinpoint favorable buy and sell points for sector ETFs
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, February 28, 2013 at 7:30am
Stocks suffered a bearish reversal last week with back-to-back days of sharp declines. In fact, last Wednesday’s 108-point plunge in the Dow Jones Industrials wiped out nearly two-week’s worth of gains in just a single session. Selling this week picked up right where it left off, leaving investors to wonder if this is the beginning …
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What Warren Buffett is Signaling about the Economy
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, February 27, 2013 at 7:30am
Two weeks ago, Warren Buffett made big news when he announced his company, Berkshire Hathaway, was purchasing Heinz (HNZ), the famous ketchup and food producer. The deal was announced during a busy week for mergers: That same week the American Airlines/U.S. Air merger was announced, as well as Dell being acquired by a private group …
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If you didn’t make 10% last month …
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, February 26, 2013 at 7:30am
A lot of former bears are suddenly turning bullish on the stock market now that it has continued to run up in the beginning of 2013. And frankly, this massive shift in sentiment concerns me because so many people get bullish at short-term tops and then sell into pullbacks. At the same time, my Income …
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Busted!
by Larry Edelson | Monday, February 25, 2013 at 7:30am
No, I haven’t been arrested! I’m simply referring to all the market myths that are about to be busted, by the markets themselves, and how so many analysts and investors are going to get caught with their pants down! After all, there are so many market myths out there, that it’s not surprising the majority …
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The REAL Fiscal Cliff
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, February 23, 2013 at 7:30am
Complacency in Washington has now reached such an extreme that even the warnings of our highest officials are mocked, ripped apart, or simply ignored. Some of the Fed’s most senior governors warn that their $85-billion-per-month bond buying frenzy is creating a new speculative bubble. But Fed Chairman Bernanke and his allies turn a deaf ear, …
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How to Find Big Profits — in Your Pantry!
by Mike Larson | Friday, February 22, 2013 at 7:30am
I cringe at the thought of investing in most bonds, and I hope you’ve been paring down your exposure like I recommended. Just this week, the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond shot up to 3.23 percent. That was the highest since last April. And since bond prices move in the opposite direction of bond …
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Worldwide Recession Can’t Stop Stocks … but Here’s What It Could Mean for Currencies!
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, February 21, 2013 at 7:30am
Global stocks continue to perform exceptionally well in 2013 … but you would never know it from the sad state of global economic growth. Recent data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) shows the world’s major developed economies skidding toward recession in the fourth quarter of last year for the first time …
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2 events this week could answer the question: Will the rally continue?
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, February 20, 2013 at 7:30am
Markets have seen a strong rally to start the year with the S&P 500 closing higher seven weeks in a row. Now the million-dollar question on investors’ minds is: Will the market continue its strong run, or has all the “good news” been priced in, and we’re due for a correction? Why have stocks rallied, …
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Please don’t count on bigger Social Security checks
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, February 19, 2013 at 7:30am
Lately, I’ve been very aggressive in sounding the alarm on Social Security’s problems. There are two reasons for that: First, the sheer scope of this issue is huge. It doesn’t matter if you’re a young worker paying a good portion of your income into the system or an older American collecting the benefits you’ve already …
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Very Serious Stuff: War Cycles Hit This Year! Prepare Now …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, February 18, 2013 at 7:30am
First, a of couple notes: As you know, my publisher has moved my column to Monday mornings in the Money and Markets Division, to give my work the widest possible investment audience. Many subscribers have been asking about my video updates. As soon as possible, my video market updates will also be part of my …
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Only savvy investors will truly profit from this …
by Larry Edelson | Saturday, February 16, 2013 at 7:30am
Equity markets are now entering a new bull market, the likes of which has not been seen since the 1932 to 1937 period, when the Dow Jones Industrials soared nearly 382 percent — rallying from a low of 40.56 in July 1932 to a high of 195.59 in March 1937 — even though the global …
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How to identify — and neutralize — your fixed income risk!
by Mike Larson | Friday, February 15, 2013 at 7:30am
The fixed income world can be a difficult place to navigate, even for experienced investors. And frankly, a lot of the advice you get on TV and from other sources just isn’t helpful. It simply won’t help you protect yourself from the bond market rout that’s already under way! So here in Money and Markets, …
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Why the Best May Be Yet to Come for Energy
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, February 14, 2013 at 7:30am
In spite of the red-hot stock market gains to start this year, the economic data has turned decidedly chilly of late. For instance, many economists were shocked when the recent gross domestic product report (GDP) showed a 0.1 percent contraction in U.S. economic activity during the last three months of 2012. That’s recession territory if …
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3 Indicators to Follow as Political Drama Returns to Europe
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, February 13, 2013 at 7:30am
Last week, political drama returned to Europe, and resulted in most major European markets finishing the week solidly negative. First, Spain’s political opposition leader called for Prime Minister Rajoy’s resignation after a slush fund scandal erupted. Popular Party political officials, including Rajoy himself, appear in a handwritten ledger as having received payments from contributions that …
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These taxes are the real “death penalty” …
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, February 12, 2013 at 7:54am
We’ve all heard the famous saying about death and taxes. But what really gets me is when those two inevitabilities converge into inheritance or estate taxes. How can anyone think it’s reasonable to tax the transfer of a dead person’s wealth? In fact, I think it’s just one more of the many ways lawmakers are …
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Only savvy investors will truly profit from this …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, February 11, 2013 at 7:30am
Equity markets are now entering a new bull market, the likes of which has not been seen since the 1932 to 1937 period, when the Dow Jones Industrials soared nearly 382 percent — rallying from a low of 40.56 in July 1932 to a high of 195.59 in March 1937 — even though the global …
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Washington vs. S&P: Just the tip of the iceberg?
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, February 9, 2013 at 7:30am
When Washington sued Standard & Poor’s this week for falsifying ratings on mortgage-backed securities, I was not the least bit surprised, and I don’t think you were either. I have been writing you about conflicts of interest at Wall Street ratings agencies for over twenty years. I submitted proposals for reform to Congress, the SEC …
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Bond Forecasts Coming True — in Aces and Spades! Are You Protected?
by Mike Larson | Friday, February 8, 2013 at 7:30am
I’ve made no secret of my view on the bond market for the past several months … not here in Money and Markets, not in my flagship Safe Money Report newsletter, not in private conversations and public presentations, or anyplace else! Take my November 2012 issue of Safe Money. I headlined it “Yield Insanity!!” and …
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January Barometer Bullish, but Beware of a February Fumble
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, February 7, 2013 at 7:30am
The S&P 500 Index gained 6.3 percent in January (6.45 percent counting dividends), its best performance to begin the year since 1997! In fact, last month was the 19th strongest January performance since 1928. But January is typically a positive month for the stock market. What will February and the rest of the year have …
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Little-Followed Index Throws Up Big Red Flag!
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, February 6, 2013 at 7:30am
Recently a little-followed economic index flashed a warning sign for equity prices. And I wanted to point it out to you today given the general sense of bullishness in the U.S. markets right now. The Citi Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is an index that measures whether recent economic data is surprising positively or negatively versus …
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Get ready for Washington’s “Automatic IRAs”
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, February 5, 2013 at 8:36am
Washington’s hubris never ceases to amaze me. For whatever reason, lawmakers always think they’re better decision makers than the typical citizen — despite so much evidence to the contrary. Take the subject of retirement planning. As I point out in my just-updated video — The Death of Social Security — politicians have already run our …
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John Templeton Protégé Beats S&P 500 by 57 to 1 Since 2007!
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Monday, February 4, 2013 at 7:30am
This week, I had the most amazing conference call in my 42-year-long career. It was with Doug Davenport, a protégé of legendary mutual fund ... …
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Bubble bursting NOW!
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, February 2, 2013 at 7:30am
Safe Money editor Mike Larson and I have warned you repeatedly that the bubble would burst. Now it’s happening! And we’re not talking about a small bubble on the periphery of the global markets. We’re referring to the largest bubble in the history of civilization — in bonds, especially government bonds. Just this week, bond …
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Growing rich in “Interesting Times”
by Tom Essaye | Friday, February 1, 2013 at 7:30am
There is an old Chinese curse that goes, “May you live in interesting times” … Clearly, we are all living in some of the most “interesting” times ever! Prior to the financial crisis, successful investing was generally the product of intense, focused research on individual companies and sectors. The general economy was important. But investors …
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Following the Flexible Approach of an Investment Legend
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, January 31, 2013 at 7:30am
I have maintained a generally upbeat outlook on global markets since last summer’s low, expecting stock markets to climb the proverbial “wall of worry.” Indeed, markets have managed to dodge a number of obstacles in recent months including: The 2012 edition of the euro-zone debt crisis, divisive election year politics here in the U.S., and …
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Revolutionary new ways to grow your wealth
by Mike Larson | Wednesday, January 30, 2013 at 7:30am
More than 11 years ago, I walked into the Weiss Research offices for the first time. The 9/11 attacks had occurred only a few short days earlier, and the global markets were still reeling. No one knew how deep the resulting economic downturn would be, or how much investor capital would be lost. But I …
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A revolutionary way to grow your wealth
by Larry Edelson | Tuesday, January 29, 2013 at 7:30am
When I first met Martin back in 1995, we immediately hit it off. I remember that we talked of bubbles past, present and future. We both knew, instinctively, that it was only a matter of time before the world would experience such a rash of bubble-blowing, that nothing, absolutely nothing, would ever be the same …
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Important Changes: In the World and at Weiss Research
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Monday, January 28, 2013 at 7:30am
What I have to say this morning is so critical and timely, I have decided to make this issue very brief. And I am also preparing a special video announcement that I will send you on Wednesday. In the 42 years since I founded this company, our primary mission has been to make accurate forecasts …
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Turning points coming soon, market action set to heat up, lots of trading opportunities ahead
by Larry Edelson | Saturday, January 26, 2013 at 7:30am
Over the last couple of weeks there hasn’t been a lot of action in the markets. We continue to see very tight trading ranges that are likely due to the low volume. But more importantly the markets are now dealing with the background noise of the second half of the fiscal cliff negotiations — the …
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“Currency Wars” heating up again! What it means for you!
by Mike Larson | Friday, January 25, 2013 at 7:30am
In the immediate aftermath of the 2007-2009 credit crisis and economic collapse, policymakers the world over locked hands and came up with ways to fight it together. Monetary and fiscal policy worked in concert to get things back on track. But those kumbaya days are over! Now, we’re seeing a global currency war heat up …
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Markets at New Highs: Two ETFs to Consider on a Pull Back!
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, January 24, 2013 at 7:30am
Generally upbeat results so far this earnings season continue to propel stocks higher with the S&P 500 Index reaching a new post-credit crisis high above 1,485 to start this week. Investors will be intently focused on fourth-quarter 2012 financial reports over the next few weeks, looking for clues about the future direction of stocks. With …
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Why Now Is the Time to Invest in the Land of the Rising Sun
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, January 23, 2013 at 7:30am
There has been a tremendous focus on the Japanese economy and the Japanese yen since former Prime Minster Shinzo Abe regained power in December. Most of the attention has been on his determination to break the back of deflation, which has been a decades-long problem in Japan. …
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The truth about the payroll tax cut …
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, January 22, 2013 at 7:30am
I can’t believe how much airplay the expiration of the payroll tax cut is getting, and how utterly wrong the mainstream media’s focus is on the whole matter ... …
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Turning points coming soon, market action set to heat up, lots of trading opportunities ahead
by Larry Edelson | Monday, January 21, 2013 at 7:30am
Over the last couple of weeks there hasn’t been a lot of action in the markets. We continue to see very tight trading ranges that are likely due to ... …
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The Next Great Bubble about to Collapse
by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Saturday, January 19, 2013 at 7:30am
Senator Orrin Hatch warns that the bubble has the power to “destroy the retirement savings of millions of Americans.” ... …
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3 Places to Find Yield — SAFELY — in a World of Central Bank Repression!
by Mike Larson | Friday, January 18, 2013 at 7:30am
It seems like everyone on the planet is chasing yield these days, and it’s perfectly understandable. After all, the world’s central banks are continuing their relentless campaigns of investor repression. …
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When to Consider Going Against the Grain with Your Investments
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, January 17, 2013 at 7:30am
As investors we must constantly force ourselves to do difficult things and take unpopular positions. In fact, this is the very definition of contrary thinking and investing ... …
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EU’s Unemployment Hits Record High! How You Can Play It
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, January 16, 2013 at 7:30am
At his press conference last week, ECB President Mario Draghi threw cold water on the prospects for rate cuts in Europe any time soon. This followed the ECB decision to keep rates on hold ... …
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Such Total Nonsense …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, January 14, 2013 at 7:30am
The talk that’s circulating that the U.S. Treasury can circumvent the debt ceiling by minting a one trillion dollar platinum coin is pure nonsense ... …
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What happens when “safe” havens aren’t safe any more!
by Mike Larson | Friday, January 11, 2013 at 7:30am
If there’s one thing many investors crave, it's safe havens. Places where they can put their money and sleep at night ... …
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Will the Dogs of the Dow Hunt in 2013?
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, January 10, 2013 at 7:30am
Last year was tough for dividend stock investors. In fact, some of the highest yielding stocks actually declined in price last year ... …
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FOMC Minutes Signal End of Bond Bubble
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, January 9, 2013 at 7:30am
Last week the market’s celebration surrounding the partial Fiscal Cliff agreement was cut short by a surprise from the minutes of the Fed’s December meeting ... …
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Prepare for Social Security Warfare in 2013 …
by Nilus Mattive | Tuesday, January 8, 2013 at 7:30am
Of course I think the biggest battleground of 2013 is going to be something that most of the media is not yet talking about – the Social Security system. …
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2013’s Most Important Market …
by Larry Edelson | Monday, January 7, 2013 at 7:30am
First of all, I want to wish you a healthy, happy, and wealthy New Year. 2013 promises to be the most exciting year since the financial crisis started out in ... …
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Fiscal cliff “deal” doesn’t deal with real issues at all!
by Mike Larson | Friday, January 4, 2013 at 7:30am
Boy, was this holiday season volatile for the capital markets! First, stocks and risky bonds tanked amid pessimism that a fiscal cliff deal could be reached ... …
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If You Own Fixed Income Funds, Watch for this Major Shift
by Mike Burnick | Thursday, January 3, 2013 at 7:30am
The worst of the “fiscal cliff” impact may have been averted, at least for the moment. But now investors face a new concern: The debt ceiling drama ... …
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With the Fiscal Cliff Looming, Where Can You Go for Outsized Returns?
by Tom Essaye | Wednesday, January 2, 2013 at 7:30am
House Speaker John Boehner made a huge political miscalculation that put the fiscal cliff negotiations basically at a standstill. And at this point, the ... …
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New Year’s Wishes
by The Entire Money and Markets Team | Tuesday, January 1, 2013 at 7:30am
Our entire team wishes you a New Year that brings health, wealth and peace to you and your loved ones. …
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